Fiscal Analysis of a Targeted Tax Credit for Taxpayers in the Second Bracket

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Fiscal Analysis of a Targeted Tax Credit for Taxpayers in the Second Bracket.pdf

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Targeted Tax Credit for Taxpayers in the Second Bracket.xlxs

Summary
In response to a request from the Chair of the Standing Senate Committee on National Finance,  PBO estimated the average benefit to taxpayers in the second tax bracket, if the estimated projected $1.8 billion in revenues from introducing a 33.0 per cent tax rate on income over $200,000 were redistributed to them.

PBO used four options in determining this amount:

  1. A redistribution of the benefit that increases, reaches a maximum, then decreases with the level of taxable income.  This option would provide a maximum benefit of $486 to taxpayers with $67,923 of taxable income.

  1. A redistribution that is linearly progressive, providing $0 to taxpayers with $90,563 of taxable income, and the largest benefit of $399 to taxpayers with $45,283.

  1. An equal redistribution that would provide the 7.2 million taxpayers in the second tax bracket each with a benefit of approximately $245.
  1. A redistribution that increasingly diminishes as taxable income increases (that is, the value of the benefit is reduced exponentially).  This option would provide $317 for taxpayers with $45,283 of taxable income.

Related posts

  • 21 January 2016
    PBO estimates that the introduction of the new 33 per cent personal income tax (PIT) rate and the reduction of the
    second tax rate to 20.5 per cent will reduce PIT revenues by $0.4 billion in 2015-16 and about $1.7 billion annually
    on average from 2016-17 to 2020-21. Reducing the first personal income tax rate from 15.0 to 14.0 per cent would
    reduce PIT revenue by $0.9 billion in 2015-16 and about $4.1 billion on average annually from 2016-17 to 2020-21.
    Introducing the new tax bracket for taxable income over $200,000 at a rate of 33.0 per cent will primarily affect the
    top 1.4 percent of taxpayers. The second bracket change will affect the top 30 percent of taxpayers, while a
    reduction in the first bracket would affect the top 60 percent of taxpayers.